Gabon vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
EGY
2 - 0
GAB
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2003 |
DOM
2 - 0
GAB
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
3 - 2
GAB
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2004 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZIM
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ZIM
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 2
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
CMR
5 - 3
ZIM
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |