Gabon vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 2
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SEN
2 - 1
GAB
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
OMA
1 - 0
GAB
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
UGA
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UGA
0 - 2
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 1
UGA
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
4 - 3
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |