Gabon vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CMR
0 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
GNB
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CMR
1 - 1
ZAM
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ZIM
1 - 0
ZAM
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 2
NGA
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |