Gabon vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 1
GAB
60%
23%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
72%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 2
CIV
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
EUS
0 - 2
TUN
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |