Gabon vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAB
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
1 - 1
LBY
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MTN
2 - 4
GAB
13%
19%
69%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
COD
0 - 1
GAB
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 0
BDI
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 0
RWA
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 1
RWA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
RWA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |