Gabon vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
2 - 0
BEN
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 3
GAB
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
GAB
2 - 2
ANG
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
RWA
3 - 1
GAB
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
GAB
1 - 1
ZIM
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 3
NGA
28%
31%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
NGA
1 - 0
ALG
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ANG
1 - 0
NGA
27%
31%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
RWA
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |