Gabon vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TOG
1 - 0
GAB
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GAB
3 - 1
MAR
25%
29%
45%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
CMR
2 - 1
GAB
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GAB
0 - 2
CMR
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
GAB
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
TUN
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZAM
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |