Gabon vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
58.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 1
GAB
60%
23%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
GAB
0 - 2
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
74 | 99 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CMR
43%
27%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
UGA
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
TAN
75%
17%
7%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTA
0 - 0
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 12 | 75 | 0 |