Gabon vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GAB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GAB
0 - 0
COD
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 0
CIV
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
BEN
2 - 2
GAB
31%
24%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
2 - 3
GHA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
3 - 0
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
GHA
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 2
MEX
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GHA
4 - 2
CIV
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |