WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 4-1
Gabon vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
GAB
0 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 0
GAB
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
GAB
4 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ALG
4 - 3
GAB
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GAB
2 - 0
SLE
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 0
GAB
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CIV
6 - 1
BDI
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 1
CIV
9%
22%
69%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 2
RSA
7%
18%
75%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 0
BFA
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |