Gabon vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NIG
3 - 0
GAB
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
MLI
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BFA
0 - 3
CGO
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 1
BFA
42%
24%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BFA
1 - 2
ANG
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |