Gabon vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 1
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
GAB
0 - 1
GAM
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 2
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 1
RSA
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
NIG
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 3
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SLE
1 - 0
NIG
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 1
SLE
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |