Gabon vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
GAB
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 2
GAB
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 3
CIV
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MLI
2 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
CIV
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 0
MLI
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 1
MTN
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MTN
2 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |