Gabon vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
GHA
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GAB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GAB
0 - 0
COD
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 0
CIV
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
LBY
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
2 - 3
GHA
11%
23%
66%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 1
LSO
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MOZ
2 - 3
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |