Gabon vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SEN
3 - 0
GAB
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
1 - 2
GAB
23%
24%
54%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
GAB
2 - 1
KEN
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
GAB
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 1
GAB
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
2 - 2
CGO
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CGO
0 - 2
MLI
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
CGO
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CGO
1 - 2
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |