France vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1929 |
FRA
1 - 4
ENG
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1929 |
ESP
8 - 1
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FRA
2 - 0
POR
44%
23%
34%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
FRA
3 - 0
HUN
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +3 |
| 29 May. 1928 |
FRA
3 - 4
ITA
36%
24%
41%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1929 |
ROU
2 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 72 | 54 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1928 |
CSK
7 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 82 | 64 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1928 |
YUG
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 75 | 57 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
AUT
3 - 0
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 81 | 63 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
YUG
3 - 1
ROU
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | +1 |