France vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
POR
0 - 3
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1982 |
NED
1 - 2
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
FRA
1 - 0
HUN
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 4
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1982 |
POL
3 - 2
FRA
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1982 |
BEL
0 - 1
SUN
47%
25%
29%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 2
SCO
77%
14%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 0
NZL
86%
10%
5%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |