France vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.7%
9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
1 - 2
HUN
24%
19%
57%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1956 |
ITA
2 - 0
FRA
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1955 |
FRA
1 - 1
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 1
HUN
15%
16%
69%
|
31 | 91 | 60 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
GER
1 - 2
SUN
87%
8%
5%
|
30 | 85 | 55 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 5
SUN
83%
10%
7%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | +3 |
| 23 May. 1956 |
SUN
5 - 1
DEN
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SUN
2 - 2
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
24 | 78 | 54 | 0 |