France vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 1
IRN
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
BRA
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 0
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ITA
2 - 2
FRA
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
FRA
3 - 1
BGR
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
TUN
0 - 4
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
CGO
0 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |