France vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
YUG
3 - 1
FRA
75%
13%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
3 - 5
FRA
42%
20%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1953 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
FRA
6 - 1
WAL
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CSK
5 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1953 |
SUI
1 - 4
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
SUI
1 - 2
TUR
51%
19%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |