France vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
FRA
3 - 2
POR
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FRA
2 - 1
WAL
58%
20%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FRA
47%
20%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1939 |
FRA
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FRA
4 - 0
POL
51%
20%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
GER
1 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1942 |
POR
3 - 0
SUI
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
SUI
1 - 2
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SUI
2 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |