France vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
SWE
2 - 0
FRA
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
NOR
1 - 3
FRA
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
FRA
1 - 0
ROU
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
ENG
5 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
FRA
0 - 1
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
SWE
2 - 0
FRA
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
SWE
2 - 0
HUN
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1969 |
SWE
3 - 1
ISR
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWE
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1969 |
DEN
0 - 1
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |