France vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
LUX
0 - 3
FRA
36%
21%
43%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
FRA
2 - 1
POL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
HUN
4 - 2
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
GRC
1 - 2
ROU
40%
24%
35%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1967 |
URU
1 - 1
ROU
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1966 |
ISR
1 - 2
ROU
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
CYP
1 - 5
ROU
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 1
ROU
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |