France vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
0 - 2
FRA
5%
16%
79%
|
100 | 57 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
ISR
79%
14%
7%
|
100 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 1
BIH
96%
4%
1%
|
100 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 1
GRC
90%
8%
2%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
SUI
1 - 3
FRA
4%
13%
83%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
SUI
1 - 1
IRL
37%
28%
35%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
IRL
3 - 0
CYP
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
IRL
1 - 1
BGR
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
NED
0 - 1
IRL
68%
20%
12%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
IRL
1 - 0
JAM
75%
18%
8%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |