France vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
CYP
0 - 7
FRA
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
FRA
0 - 0
NED
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
FRA
5 - 1
GRC
74%
18%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
FRA
2 - 1
CSK
48%
27%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
IRL
1 - 1
BEL
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
IRL
2 - 1
NED
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
ARG
1 - 0
IRL
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1980 |
IRL
2 - 0
SUI
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |