France vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
77%
17%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRA
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1987 |
NOR
2 - 0
FRA
21%
28%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISL
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
ITA
1 - 1
DDR
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
DDR
3 - 1
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
DDR
1 - 1
SUN
39%
29%
33%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
DDR
2 - 0
TUN
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1987 |
DDR
4 - 2
NED
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |