France vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISR
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
ROU
1 - 3
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
FRA
10 - 0
AZE
93%
5%
1%
|
94 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
NOR
0 - 0
FRA
28%
29%
43%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
ENG
1 - 1
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
POR
3 - 0
IRL
49%
28%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
AUT
1 - 1
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
POR
1 - 1
NIR
64%
23%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1995 |
LIE
0 - 7
POR
14%
26%
60%
|
89 | 11 | 78 | 0 |