France vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
FRA
1 - 0
LUX
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BGR
1 - 0
FRA
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
GRC
1 - 1
FRA
38%
23%
40%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
ITA
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1959 |
POR
3 - 2
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1959 |
DDR
0 - 2
POR
33%
22%
45%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1959 |
POR
1 - 0
SCO
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1959 |
SWE
2 - 0
POR
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1959 |
SUI
4 - 3
POR
54%
19%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |