France vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
22.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
SWE
43%
21%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 2
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 2
FRA
83%
10%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
ITA
4 - 1
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
19%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1951 |
ENG
5 - 2
POR
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1951 |
WAL
2 - 1
POR
52%
20%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
POR
1 - 4
ITA
38%
23%
40%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
POR
2 - 2
SCO
43%
22%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |