France vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1998 |
FRA
2 - 1
DEN
72%
18%
11%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1998 |
FRA
4 - 0
KSA
86%
10%
4%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1998 |
FRA
3 - 0
RSA
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
FIN
0 - 1
FRA
12%
25%
63%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 2
FRA
15%
27%
57%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1998 |
NGA
1 - 3
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
0 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1998 |
PAR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
3 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |