France vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
10%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
FRA
2 - 2
BGR
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
4 - 0
FRA
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 0
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 1
PAR
82%
12%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
32%
20%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |