France vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRA
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1987 |
NOR
2 - 0
FRA
21%
28%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISL
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
DDR
0 - 0
FRA
45%
27%
29%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 1
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
ISL
2 - 1
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1987 |
NOR
2 - 0
FRA
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 1
SUN
20%
29%
51%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |