France vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
10%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
FRA
1 - 3
HUN
24%
21%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1963 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1963 |
FRA
2 - 2
SUI
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
58%
18%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DEN
2 - 0
NOR
74%
14%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1964 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1964 |
NOR
3 - 2
SUI
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |