France vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
ECU
0 - 0
FRA
24%
23%
53%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
SUI
2 - 5
FRA
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 0
HND
74%
18%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
8 - 0
JAM
80%
15%
4%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
ARG
13%
19%
69%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
1 - 0
BIH
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
NGA
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
NGA
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GRC
0 - 0
NGA
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |