France vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
URU
0 - 0
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 1
CHN
73%
19%
8%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 1
FRA
16%
25%
59%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
CRC
69%
20%
11%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
RSA
1 - 1
MEX
9%
17%
73%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
MEX
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MEX
5 - 1
GAM
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
NED
2 - 1
MEX
62%
22%
16%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
ENG
3 - 1
MEX
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | -1 |