France vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 2
SVK
81%
14%
5%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
FRA
0 - 0
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
FRA
3 - 2
CRC
79%
15%
6%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
FRA
4 - 0
CYP
82%
14%
5%
|
99 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
SUI
1 - 1
FRA
17%
26%
57%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
COD
81%
13%
5%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
GHA
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
MEX
0 - 1
KOR
61%
22%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |