France vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
3 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRD
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
YUG
5 - 1
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
YUG
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
FRA
3 - 1
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
83%
10%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1968 |
MEX
3 - 1
CHI
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 2
URU
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |