France vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
FRA
0 - 3
BEL
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
FRA
0 - 0
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
FRA
4 - 1
LUX
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 0
YUG
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
NIR
4 - 1
MEX
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
SUI
1 - 1
MEX
42%
23%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1966 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |