France vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
FRA
0 - 2
SCO
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
FRA
1 - 6
BEL
43%
22%
35%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
FRA
3 - 3
SUI
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1928 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEX
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
ESP
7 - 1
MEX
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1924 |
SUR
3 - 1
MEX
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1924 |
LTU
0 - 10
MEX
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1923 |
MEX
3 - 3
GTM
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |