France vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1988 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUI
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
ISR
1 - 1
FRA
25%
29%
46%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
FRA
0 - 1
DDR
58%
24%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
77%
17%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRA
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1987 |
LBY
2 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1987 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUS
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 1
BRD
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
POR
1 - 3
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
0 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |