France vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
FRA
0 - 2
CZE
75%
17%
8%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
FRA
3 - 0
YUG
68%
20%
12%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
MLT
0 - 4
FRA
13%
21%
67%
|
99 | 57 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FRA
5 - 0
SVN
94%
5%
1%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
CYP
1 - 2
FRA
17%
22%
61%
|
99 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
MLT
2 - 2
KAZ
22%
24%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
CYP
2 - 1
MLT
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
MLT
0 - 4
FRA
13%
21%
67%
|
57 | 99 | 42 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MLT
0 - 2
ISR
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SVN
3 - 0
MLT
91%
7%
2%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |