France vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
DDR
2 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FRA
2 - 0
URU
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 0
FRA
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
YUG
0 - 0
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
DDR
56%
25%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
LUX
1 - 3
BGR
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
DDR
3 - 1
LUX
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 1
YUG
9%
17%
74%
|
37 | 88 | 51 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 0
ISL
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
YUG
1 - 0
LUX
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |