France vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 0
YUG
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
0 - 1
FRA
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1965 |
FRA
0 - 0
ARG
35%
24%
42%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 2
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LUX
2 - 5
YUG
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
NOR
4 - 2
LUX
66%
16%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
58%
18%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
YUG
3 - 1
LUX
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |