France vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.9%
11.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
1 - 0
IRL
64%
17%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
2 - 4
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
YUG
3 - 1
FRA
75%
13%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
3 - 5
FRA
42%
20%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUX
85%
10%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
LUX
5 - 3
GBR
47%
21%
32%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
LUX
0 - 3
GER
30%
21%
49%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |