France vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1913 |
SUI
1 - 4
FRA
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1913 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1913 |
FRA
1 - 0
ITA
52%
22%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1912 |
ITA
3 - 4
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1912 |
FRA
4 - 1
SUI
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
LUX
1 - 4
FRA
56%
20%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |