France vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
23%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
BEL
50%
23%
28%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
NED
0 - 0
FRA
45%
24%
31%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SUI
2 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 1
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 0
BIH
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |