France vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
POR
2 - 4
FRA
52%
19%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
57%
19%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
FRA
4 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
FRA
4 - 0
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
ENG
3 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 1
CSK
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
AUT
5 - 1
ITA
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ITA
5 - 2
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ITA
3 - 2
AUT
71%
15%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |