France vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.3%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
44%
27%
29%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
CSK
1 - 2
FRA
44%
27%
29%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1991 |
POL
1 - 5
FRA
34%
29%
37%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
FRA
5 - 0
ALB
92%
6%
1%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
FRA
3 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
CYP
1 - 1
ISL
35%
27%
37%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
ISL
2 - 0
ESP
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
26%
30%
44%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
ISL
5 - 1
TUR
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
ISL
0 - 1
CSK
22%
29%
49%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |