France vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
ISL
0 - 0
FRA
20%
20%
60%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
FRA
0 - 2
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
FRA
2 - 0
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
FRA
2 - 2
DDR
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
ISL
0 - 2
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1975 |
NOR
3 - 2
ISL
73%
14%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
50%
21%
30%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
ISL
2 - 1
DDR
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
ISL
0 - 0
FRA
20%
20%
60%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | +1 |