France vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FRA
6 - 3
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 31 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
1 - 2
HUN
24%
19%
57%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1956 |
FIN
2 - 1
ISL
56%
18%
26%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1955 |
ISL
3 - 2
USA
50%
19%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1955 |
ISL
0 - 4
DEN
44%
21%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 2
ISL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
ISL
1 - 0
NOR
50%
20%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |